Showing posts with label England. Show all posts
Showing posts with label England. Show all posts

A model of social class from BBC survey data

A New Model of Social Class? Findings from the BBC’s Great British Class Survey Experiment (pdf):

We analyse the largest survey of social class ever conducted in the UK, the BBC’s 2011 Great British Class Survey, with 161,400 web respondents, as well as a nationally representative sample survey, which includes unusually detailed questions asked on social, cultural and economic capital. Using latent class analysis on these variables, we derive seven classes. We demonstrate the existence of an ‘elite’, whose wealth separates them from an established middle class, as well as a class of technical experts and a class of ‘new affluent’ workers. We also show that at the lower levels of the class structure, alongside an ageing traditional working class, there is a ‘precariat’ characterised by very low levels of capital, and a group of emergent service workers. We think that this new seven class model recognises both social polarisation in British society and class fragmentation in its middle layers, and will attract enormous interest from a wide social scientific community in offering an up-to-date multi-dimensional model of social class.
More:

Was there ever a Ruling Class? 1000 years of Social Mobility

According to Gregory Clark, because of regression to the mean and the lack of any (e.g., racial) barrier preventing gene flow across classes, there was never a persistent ruling class in England.

Notes from a presentation by Clark last year containing "work in progress from a planned book on social mobility over the long run" (pdf):

What is the fundamental nature of human society? Is it stratified into enduring layers of privilege and want, with some mobility between the layers, but permanent social classes? Or is there, over generations, complete mobility between all ranks in the social hierarchy, and complete long run equal opportunity? [. . .]

This book systematically exploits a new method of tracing social mobility over many generations, surnames, to measure the persistence of classes over as much as 800 years, 24 generations. It looks at societies where surnames are inherited, unchanged, by children from fathers. In such cases they thus serve as a tracer of the distant social origins of the modern population (and interestingly also as a tracer of the Y chromosome).

In this role surnames are a surprisingly powerful instrument for measuring long run social mobility. The results they reveal are clear, powerful, and a shock to our casual intuitions.

(1) In England, where we can trace social mobility back to 1066 using surnames, there were never any long persistent ruling and lower classes for the indigenous population: not in medieval England, and not now. About 5-6 generations were, and are, enough to erase most echoes of initial advantage or want. For the English class is, and always was, an illusion. Histories such as those of the Stanley family turn out to be rare exceptions, not the rule.

(2) Paradoxically, while England reveals complete long run mobility, the rates of social mobility per generation, better measured by looking over multiple generations, turn out to be lower than is conventionally estimated. But the mathematics of mobility is such that even such slow regression to the mean, over time, will completely erase initial advantage and want.

(3) The rate of social mobility in England was as high in the middle ages as it is now. The arrival of the whole apparatus of free public education in the late nineteenth century, and the elimination of nepotism in government and private firms, has not improved the rate of social mobility.

(4) The extraordinarily complete long run mobility of England is likely typical of other western European societies. But other countries, in contrast, do exhibit persistent social classes over hundreds of years. In the US, for example, the Black population has persisted at the bottom of the social order, and the Jewish population at the top. In Chile surname evidence shows the indigenous population has remained at the bottom since the Spanish conquest of 1541. [. . .]

(7) Though parents at the top of the economic ladder in any generation in preindustrial England did not derive any lasting advantage for their progeny, there was one odd effect. Surname frequencies show was that there was a permanent increase in the share of the DNA in England from rich parents before 1850. After 1850 a frequency effect operated, but in reverse. Surname frequencies show the DNA share of families in England who were rich in 1850 declined relative to that of poor families of the same generation by 2010. [. . .]

What is the meaning and explanation of these results? This is a much more contentious and difficult area. The book argues for the following conclusions:

A. Why can’t the ruling class in a place like England defend itself against downwards mobility? If the main determinants of economic and social success were wealth, education and connections then there would be no explanation of the consistent tendency of the rich to regress to the society mean. Only if genetics is the main element in determining economic success, if nature trumps nurture, is there a built-in mechanism that ensures the observed regression. That mechanism is the intermarriage of the rich with those from the lower classes. Even though there is strong assortative mating, since this is based on the phenotype created in part by chance and luck, those of higher than average innate talent tend to systematically mate with those of lesser ability and regress to the mean.

B. Racial, ethnic and religious differences allow long persisting social stratification through the barriers they create to this intermarriage. Thus for a society to achieve complete social mobility it must achieve cultural homogeneity. Multiculturalism is the enemy of long run equality.

On the Normans:

Twenty-eleven

I'll skip the predictions (you're welcome to post your own), and just post a bit more information on a few projects that should be announcing results this year:

(1) Otzi genome. Here's a 9 minute podcast from Life Technologies containing a few more details:
- "above 5X coverage"
- "looking at potentially medically-relevant SNPs"
- "this individual living over 5000 years ago would represent an ancestor for, we think, a significant proportion of the European population."
- "looking at his ancestry and indeed trying to determine exactly where is he from"

(2) People of the British Isles Project. A movie from the Wellcome Trust:



Most interestingly, the project is now collecting phenotypic data, including skin color, and taking 3-d facial photographs. Bodmer: "The next stage of our study, we're now taking pictures of people's faces so we can analyze components statistically [. . .] and then look for the genetic features behind that. What are the genes, what are the variations that determine facial features. Will it be possible to reconstruct from a piece of DNA what a person really looked like."

(3) 1000 Genomes Project. Another short film by the Wellcome Trust:



Chris Tyler-Smith: "[The project has] told us that natural selection has influenced virtually every part of our genome [. . .] we've now got a catalog of some thousands of genes that we think have been specifically positively selected in our fairly recent history."

Update on People of the British Isles project

A reader forwarded me this message, posted to a mailing list by a third party:
One of my project members wrote to one of the organisers of the People of the British Isles Project to find out a few more details. He was told the following:

"The data will be made publicly available after we have done some analyses, and so anyone should be able to get hold of it when it is!

As for SNPs, we have had 3,000 samples typed on a large scale (about 1.2M SNPs, of which something like 2,000 are on the Y-chromosome). There are about 150 or so that are on the y-chromosome consortium tree, so hopefully we should get quite a lot of information out of the analyses!"

That should make a big difference to Population Finder and all the other admixture tests. Perhaps those of us who already know that we are of 100% British origin might then actually get some meaningful results. The Orkney Islands are not exactly a good proxy for the entire British Isles!
The website is showing a total of 4214 samples collected.

Puritan intelligence: the ideological background to IQ

Anti-IQ academic "blames" intelligence testing and eugenics on Puritans and Quakers.

John White. Puritan intelligence: the ideological background to IQ. Oxford Review of Education, Volume 31, Issue 3 September 2005 , pages 423 - 442.
Given well-known difficulties in justifying the Galtonian conception of intelligence as innate general intellectual capacity, a historical explanation is required of why this problematic notion became so prominent in Britain and in the USA in the late nineteenth and twentieth centuries. Parallels are drawn between it and various features of the thought-world of the Puritans, including ideas of predestination, the elect, salvation, vocation, and intellectual education. An examination of the family backgrounds of the leading pioneers of intelligence and intelligence testing reveals that most, if not all, of them had puritan roots. A final section focuses on the tight connexion made between Galtonian intelligence and abstract thinking. It suggests that this may be linked with the central role of logic in puritan thought and its alliance with 'pneumatology', the forerunner of scientific psychology.
More excerpts within:

Basic facts concerning Oliver Cromwell and the resettlement of Jews in England

(1) There were Marranos in England before Cromwell.
(2) The Puritan government failed to extend Jews the privileges they sought.
(3) Royalists were perfectly ready to ally with Jews where they thought they could benefit (and the converse, likewise).
(4) The Jewish population of England was negligible prior to the Restoration of Charles II, after which it markedly increased.

More below. (Continue reading.)

UK racial classifications

Looks like someone forgot to tell GW's countrymen that all Europeans are identically "white". London police radio codes:
Giving evidence in a begging case at Marlborough Street Magistrates' Court, WPC Linda Nicholls said that she saw the defendant stop an IC1 in the street. What, enquired the magistrate, Mr St John Harmsworth, was an IC1? Amid laughter the WPC explained that it was part of a code: "An IC1 is a white man, an IC2 is an Italian, and an IC3 is a West Indian." When WPC Nicholls reverted later in the evidence to more traditional language and said that the defendant had also stopped an Italian, the magistrate, warming to the theme translated: "An IC2".

[. . .]

It is difficult to encompass the world with six groups but the Metropolitan Police assign "white-skinned European types - English, Scottish, Welsh, Scandinavian and Russian" to IC1; "dark-skinned European types - Sardinian, Spanish, Italian" to IC2; "Negroid types - Caribbean, West Indian, African, Nigerian" to IC3; Indians and Pakistanis to IC4; "Chinese, Japanese, Mongolians, Siamese" to IC5; and "Arabians, Egyptians, Algerians, Moroccans and North Africans" to IC6.

[Lindsay Mackie. Race causes an initial confusion. Wednesday June 14, 1978. guardian.co.uk]

IC1 White - North European
IC2 White - South European
IC3 Black
IC4 Asian
IC5 Chinese, Japanese or any other South East Asian
IC6 Arabic or North African

[Abbreviations - A-Z Glossary of Police Terms]

Genetic differentiation in the UK

An ASHG 2008 poster abstract on the People of the British Isles project:
The need for a well characterised UK Control Population. B. Winney, A. Boumertit, R. Bowden, D. Davison, S. Day, E. Echeta, I. Evseeva, K. Nicodemus, S. Tonks, X. Yang, P. Donnelly, W. Bodmer Dept. Clinical Pharmacology, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX3 7DQ, UK.

Until the recent advent of Whole Genome Association studies (WGAs), there were problems replicating significant associations between gene variation and complex diseases in studies that were generally underpowered. Population structure was widely considered to be the most significant reason. A powerful approach to this problem may be to characterise genetically both the cases and controls. Individuals from the controls can then be chosen to match the cases so as to minimise the stochastic differences between the two populations. Such a well-characterised control population would complement the current generation of WGAs. Importantly, the samples would be a resource that could be key to the search for rare variants that can be associated with disease susceptibility. We are assembling a UK control population as a resource for future studies. It will comprise 3,500 samples (3,200 collected so far), which will have been carefully selected from throughout the UK. Rural regions are targeted to avoid the admixture observed in large urban environments and volunteers are sought who were born in the same place as their parents and grandparents to ensure historical integrity. The collection will be genotyped for around 3,000 markers, with the aim of identifying about 200 ancestrally informative markers, which will then be used to match controls to cases. DNA from the samples will then be made available as a resource for future studies. An initial pilot project on about 400-500 samples, using a variety of markers, indicates that this approach is valid. MC1R data suggest structure differentiating the Celtic Fringe from Eastern England, whilst NRY data show evidence of Norse incursions into Orkney. Preliminary analyses of a larger pilot project, comprising about 700 samples and 400 markers, including HLA, provide further signals of population structure when all the samples are combined. There is also evidence of differentiation between some pairs of populations and simple admixture analyses suggest that there is an east-west gradient of Anglo-Saxon ancestry across England.

Going by the website, the project is now up to 3453 samples collected (out of 3500 sought). Looking forward to further results. Should shut some people up.